How Long Will Normalisation of Libya Take?

The weekend's celebration of the second anniversary of the revolution passed off without major incident, perhaps in part due to the increased security put in place at the borders.

In a speech in Benghazi to mark the event, President Mohammed Magariaf [Magarief] appealed to the people of Libya to renew their commitment to a secure and peaceful society, and to reject corruption, racism and violence.

But how long does it take to "normalise" a country after 40 years of dictatorship? Of course there is no definite answer to this question, and the circumstances of every country are different, but one dedicated Libya-watcher made a prediction:

In a lecture last week in London, Lindsey Hilsum, International Editor of the UK's Channel 4 News, and author of Sandstorm: Libya in the Time of Revolution, said it could take decades for Libya to become a functioning state.

Is this too pessimistic? In fairness, it has to be noted that she said 'could' rather than 'will', and certainly without inspired leadership, international help and some basic good luck, there is possibility that anarchy and lawlessness could continue far into the future.

But it doesn't have to be that way, and a concerted effort could see Libya become a prosperous and secure society in a much shorter time.

How long do you think it will take? Please let us know your views in the Comments section below.

2 Responses to How Long Will Normalisation of Libya Take?

  1. Terry Willis 19th February 2013 at 12:39 pm #

    The EIC organised a UK Trade Mission that was focussed on the oil & gas sector, in January. Following meetings with a number of key stake holders, it was obvious that business opportunities will mature in the not too distant future and now was the time for any companies serious about the new Libya market to get themselves in good shape so that they can reap the clear benefits in the future

    • Abduldaym Mossa 19th February 2013 at 4:16 pm #

      as a 53 year old Libyan with great understanding of my Libyan society, it will take maximum of 10 years to see Libya very stable strong secure country, we have to keep in mind that it has all resources needed in terms of cash,brains and man power if used correctly to achieve it.

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