Libya Five Years from Now

It's not easy being effectively a new state, and the truth is that every new country went through a period of transition, sometimes painful, to get to where it is today.

Having formed a government, Libya now faces challenges such as formulating a constitution, reining in the militias, and assuring international companies that it is a safe and rewarding place in which to do business.

While the momentum is in the positive direction, success cannot be guaranteed, and it will take a strong, determined, and inspired government to keep things moving the right way.

But as well-informed Libya watchers, where do you see Libya five years from now? Will it, for example, have developed into a more peaceful and prosperous society, or will tribal divisions continue to be a drain on resources?

Please let us know your views in the comments section below.

One Response to Libya Five Years from Now

  1. Phil Hodkinson 4th December 2012 at 3:29 pm #

    I agree with the comments entirely. However, having visited Tripoli and the surrounding area in the summer, I found that the people on the street want all these things too. One of the difficulties of any elected government that still has a guiding council behind it, is maintaining the balancing act of developing long term strategies, with quick popular fixes to mitigate the voices of those that want change to happen instantly.
    Although most accept that this will not occur, a minority of strident voices can interrupt the stability that is so necessary for future development of the country as a whole.
    One of the best ways of unifying the population is to provide a wide range of nationally accepted standards of post 16/17 training and education. This will give opportunities for the high percentage of young people out of work, to gain skills and knowledge necessary for the future companies and businesses that will emerge in Libya, in the next few years.
    From my visits to the Gulf area earlier this year, a similar situation in terms of unemployed youth is apparent throughout. Countries such as Qatar, Emirates, Oman, and even Bahrain have chosen this route and in all cases it has been successful.
    Students are gaining confidence in the qualifications they are achieving, especially as they understand that their national standards are based on similar UK qualifications.
    It's an old adage but those with no prospects will find their own and they may not be what the government wants.
    Much better for them to provide the prospects beforehand.

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